Little room for debate in Ohtani’s MVP bid

n”,”providerName”:”Twitter”,”providerUrl”:”https://twitter.com”,”type”:”rich”,”width”: 550,”__typename”:”ExternalEmbedContent”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.4″:{“data”:{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.4.data”,”typename”:”ExternalEmbedContent”},”type”:”oembed”,”__typename”:”ExternalEmbed”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.5″:{“content”:”If Ohtani isn’t the biggest star in the baseball world right now, that may be in part because of his relatively limited track record in the Majors, interrupted as it was by [2018 Tommy John surgery](https://www.mlb.com/news/shohei-ohtani-s-tommy-john-surgery-successful-c296823034) and [2019 left knee surgery](https://www.mlb.com/news/shohei-ohtani-left-knee-surgery), and in large part because he and Mike Trout somehow play on a fourth-place team that hasn’t had a winning season since 2015.”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6″:{“contentDate”:”2021-05-18T04: 39: 19.353Z”,”description”:”Take a look at a unique angle of Shohei Ohtani’s towering three-run home run to right-center field against the Indians”,”duration”:”00: 00: 30″,”slug”:”ohtani-smashes-a-three-run-homer”,”source”:null,”tags”: [{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.0″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.1″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.2″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.3″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.4″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.5″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.6″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.7″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.8″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.9″,”typename”:”Tag”}],”templateUrl”:”https://img.mlbstatic.com/mlb-images/image/private/{formatInstructions}/mlb/eyjfvavcppf7kyt9vtur”,”title”:”Ohtani smashes a three-run homer”,”type”:”video”,”url”:”/video/ohtani-smashes-a-three-run-homer”,”__typename”:”Video”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.0″:{“slug”:”gamepk-634101″,”title”:”2021/05/17 cle@ana”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.1″:{“slug”:”teamid-108″,”title”:”Los Angeles Angels”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.2″:{“slug”:”playerid-660271″,”title”:”Shohei Ohtani”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.3″:{“slug”:”highlight”,”title”:”highlight”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.4″:{“slug”:”in-game-highlight”,”title”:”in-game highlight”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.5″:{“slug”:”home-run”,”title”:”home run”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.6″:{“slug”:”eclat-feed”,”title”:”Eclat feed”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.7″:{“slug”:”international-feed”,”title”:”International Partner feed”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.8″:{“slug”:”1-yahoo-fantasy-feed”,”title”:”1-Yahoo Fantasy Feed”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.9″:{“slug”:”yahoo-fantasy”,”title”:”Yahoo Fantasy”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.7″:{“content”:” nn nnBut it also seems like every day he’s doing something that stands out, and it’s not always about the combination of pitching and hitting. His Sunday homer against Boston? It was one of the [five most valuable events](https://stathead.com/tiny/jKKlH) (given the context of the Angels being down by one run with two outs in the ninth) of the season. His Monday homer against Cleveland, the one at his eyes? It was [the highest pitch hit for a homer by any Angels batter](https://www.mlb.com/angels/news/shohei-ohtani-retakes-home-run-lead) on record, dating back to 2008. His April 12 double against Kansas City? At 119 mph, it’s the [hardest-hit ball by a lefty batter](https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/statcast_search?hfPT=&hfAB=&hfGT=R%7C&hfPR=&hfZ=&stadium=&hfBBL=&hfNewZones=&hfPull=&hfC=&hfSea=2021%7C2020%7C2019%7C2018%7C2017%7C2016%7C2015%7C2014%7C2013%7C2012%7C2011%7C2010%7C2009%7C2008%7C&hfSit=&player_type=batter&hfOuts=&opponent=&pitcher_throws=&batter_stands=L&hfSA=&game_date_gt=&game_date_lt=&hfInfield=&team=&position=&hfOutfield=&hfRO=&home_road=&hfFlag=&hfBBT=&metric_1=api_h_launch_speed&metric_1_gt=112&metric_1_lt=&hfInn=&min_pitches=0&min_results=0&group_by=name-event&sort_col=pitches&player_event_sort=api_h_launch_speed&sort_order=desc&min_pas=0&chk_event_launch_speed=on&chk_event_release_speed=on#results) ever tracked.”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.8″:{“contentDate”:”2021-04-13T03: 28: 12.189Z”,”description”:”Statcast measures the exit velocity and launch angle on Shohei Ohtani’s two-run double to right field”,”duration”:”00: 00: 39″,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-s-119-mph-double”,”source”:null,”tags”: [{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.8.tags.0″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.8.tags.1″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.8.tags.2″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.8.tags.3″,”typename”:”Tag”}],”templateUrl”:”https://img.mlbstatic.com/mlb-images/image/private/{formatInstructions}/mlb/esz6lsm6nmhscwpyip74″,”title”:”Shohei Ohtani’s 119-mph double”,”type”:”video”,”url”:”/video/shohei-ohtani-s-119-mph-double”,”__typename”:”Video”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.8.tags.0″:{“slug”:”gamepk-632197″,”title”:”2021/04/12 ana@kc”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.8.tags.1″:{“slug”:”teamid-108″,”title”:”Los Angeles Angels”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.8.tags.2″:{“slug”:”playerid-660271″,”title”:”Shohei Ohtani”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.8.tags.3″:{“slug”:”player-tracking”,”title”:”Statcast”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.9″:{“content”:”It goes on like this. Ohtani is not the _best_ hitter — although he is [extremely good](https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y&type=8&season=2021&month=0&season1=2021&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2021-01-01&enddate=2021-12-31&sort=18,d) \-\- nor is he the _best_ pitcher — though he’s [extremely good](https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=sta&lg=all&qual=20&type=8&season=2021&month=0&season1=2021&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2021-01-01&enddate=2021-12-31&sort=17,a) there too, if a bit too wild — but he’s both in a sport where it is very hard to be either one. He’s generally a non-factor on defense, but [he’s got elite speed](https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/sprint_speed?year=2021&position=&team=&min=10) and has added some baserunning value. In terms of adding value in the biggest spots — you know, what many people could consider “valuable” — well, [he’s No. 1 in baseball](https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y&type=3&season=2021&month=0&season1=2021&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2021-01-01&enddate=2021-12-31&sort=3,d) in win probability added, and that’s just among hitters (more on this below).nnBut because we’ve never really seen a player like this, it’s difficult to wrap our heads around it all. Put another way: [A designated hitter has never won a Most Valuable Player Award](https://www.mlb.com/news/nelson-cruz-dh-mvp-case), because they add no value on defense, and it’s not the Most Valuable _Hitter_ Award. As a pure DH, [Ohtani is not out-hitting](https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=dh&stats=bat&lg=al&qual=y&type=8&season=2021&month=0&season1=2021&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2021-01-01&enddate=2021-12-31&sort=18,d) J.D. Martinez, Yermín Mercedes or Yordan Alvarez, but he’s also faced 110 batters — and counting — as a pitcher, striking out 40 of them, and that has to count. But how much?nnOhtani’s case, to be clear, is not just about numbers. He’s so much more important than that. But the numbers love him, too. Let’s try to break that down.”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.10″:{“content”:” nn### How do you define value?”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.11″:{“content”:”The first place to start, usually, is the cold hard math of Wins Above Replacement, which doesn’t take into account _the entire Ohtani experience of it all,_ but is nonetheless the best we’ve got at expressing value. Think about it like this: “Having the most WAR” is not a guarantee of winning MVP, nor should it be. But it’s nearly impossible to be your league’s most valuable player if you’re not pretty close to the top of the WAR leaderboards.nnAt [Baseball-Reference](https://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/AL/2021-batting-leaders.shtml), for example, Ohtani has 1.2 WAR as a position player, and 1.3 more WAR as a pitcher, giving him a 2.5 WAR total that is the fourth best in the American League.”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.12″:{“content”:”2021 American League WAR leadersnn2.8 WAR — Byron Buxton, MIN n2.7 WAR — John Means, BAL n2.6 WAR — Isiah Kiner-Falefa, TEX n2.5 WAR — Ohtani, LAAn2.2 WAR — Gerrit Cole, NYY n2.1 WAR — Vladimir Guerrero Jr., TOR n2.1 WAR — Mike Trout, LAA n2.1 WAR — Kyle Gibson, TEX n2.0 WAR — Xander Bogaerts, BOS”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.13″:{“content”:”“A list of WAR leaders is not a list of MVP finalists” ought to be pretty clear in this case, because no matter what WAR says, Means is not winning the MVP. Kiner-Falefa is not winning the MVP. Gibson won’t even be in the conversation. [Buxton is currently injured](https://www.mlb.com/news/byron-buxton-making-slow-progress-on-il-for-twins), with no clear return date. Trout has a calf strain that could cost him six to eight weeks. Bogaerts is baseball’s best-hitting shortstop, but the defensive metrics routinely regard his glove as a poor one.nnSo, Ohtani is left as the leader in the clubhouse, right? Good. We’re done here. Not so fast.”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.14″:{“contentDate”:”2021-05-12T03: 33: 28.2Z”,”description”:”Statcast measures the velocity of Shohei Ohtani’s fastball, which reached speeds over 98 mph in his 10-strikeout start against Houston”,”duration”:”00: 00: 44″,”slug”:”ohtani-s-98-mph-strikeouts”,”source”:null,”tags”: [{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.14.tags.0″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.14.tags.1″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.14.tags.2″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.14.tags.3″,”typename”:”Tag”}],”templateUrl”:”https://img.mlbstatic.com/mlb-images/image/private/{formatInstructions}/mlb/ydz1ugqtubo0yhs6ttql”,”title”:”Ohtani’s 98-plus mph strikeouts”,”type”:”video”,”url”:”/video/ohtani-s-98-mph-strikeouts”,”__typename”:”Video”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.14.tags.0″:{“slug”:”gamepk-634156″,”title”:”2021/05/11 ana@hou”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.14.tags.1″:{“slug”:”teamid-108″,”title”:”Los Angeles Angels”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.14.tags.2″:{“slug”:”playerid-660271″,”title”:”Shohei Ohtani”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.14.tags.3″:{“slug”:”player-tracking”,”title”:”Statcast”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.15″:{“content”:”### How does Ohtani’s playing time break down?nnThree years ago, when the discussion was about whether Ohtani or New York’s Miguel Andújar would win Rookie of the Year — [Ohtani won easily](https://www.mlb.com/news/ohtani-wins-al-rookie-of-year-award-c300596276) \-\- Yankees fans focused on the fact that Andújar was an everyday player with 606 plate appearances (despite playing a below-average third base) while Ohtani had 367 plate appearances (while sometimes pitching).nnThat’s not an issue in 2021. Ohtani has, somewhat unbelievably, played in every single Angels game this year. The only game he didn’t start came back on April 5, the day after he [narrowly avoided an injury](https://www.mlb.com/news/white-sox-angels-ohtani-passed-ball-play) while attempting to field a wild throw home as José Abreu slid in underneath him. (Ohtani pinch-hit in the eighth and was hit by a pitch, later scoring a run.)nnHis 163 plate appearances entering Tuesday were the second most on the Angels; they’re more than Ronald Acuña Jr. or Aaron Judge or Kris Bryant. This part is not an issue. But look at his games played, because they break down like this:”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.16″:{“content”:”34 starts\-\- DH n3 starts\-\- P, hitting for himself (no team DH) n2 starts\-\- P, not hitting (team used DH)”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.17″:{“content”:”So he is, primarily, a designated hitter, which means the question we’re asking is really about what happens when he’s not hitting. Other designated hitters, like Martinez, Mercedes or Alvarez, offer no defensive value or _negative_ defensive value. That’s true of Ohtani, too, in about 87% of Angels games. So if you just look at [WAR collected as a position player](https://stathead.com/tiny/Oin1T), he’s tied for 22nd, which is a rough oversimplification of being the [11th-best hitter](https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=al&qual=y&type=8&season=2021&month=0&season1=2021&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2021-01-01&enddate=2021-12-31&sort=18,d) having taken the 29th-most plate appearances and providing zero defensive value.nnBut unlike Martinez, Mercedes or Alvarez, Ohtani is also offering value on the mound (1.3 WAR). The way the math works out then, seems like maybe it makes sense — that is, since he’s started only five times, and acted as a “normal AL pitcher” in two of them, there have been only three games so far in which he has provided the Angels with extra batting value over whomever else they’d have played at DH that day. Maybe that’ll pile up over a full season if he hits every single time he pitches, but so far, it hasn’t mattered much. Not that he needs it to; he is, again, fourth in the AL in WAR as it is.”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.18″:{“contentDate”:”2021-05-06T02: 36: 27.836Z”,”description”:”Shohei Ohtani deflects a line drive up the middle with his glove and makes a barehanded catch to retire Austin Meadows in the 3rd”,”duration”:”00: 00: 41″,”slug”:”austin-meadows-lines-out-to-pitcher-shohei-ohtani”,”source”:null,”tags”: [{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.18.tags.0″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.18.tags.1″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.18.tags.2″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.18.tags.3″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.18.tags.4″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.18.tags.5″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.18.tags.6″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.18.tags.7″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.18.tags.8″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.18.tags.9″,”typename”:”Tag”}],”templateUrl”:”https://img.mlbstatic.com/mlb-images/image/private/{formatInstructions}/mlb/a86pq6gkidlx9akgxtha”,”title”:”Shohei Ohtani snares comebacker”,”type”:”video”,”url”:”/video/austin-meadows-lines-out-to-pitcher-shohei-ohtani”,”__typename”:”Video”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.18.tags.0″:{“slug”:”season-2021″,”title”:”Season 2021″,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.18.tags.1″:{“slug”:”gamepk-634281″,”title”:”2021/05/05 tb@ana”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.18.tags.2″:{“slug”:”teamid-108″,”title”:”Los Angeles Angels”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.18.tags.3″:{“slug”:”playerid-660271″,”title”:”Shohei Ohtani”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.18.tags.4″:{“slug”:”defense”,”title”:”defense”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.18.tags.5″:{“slug”:”highlight”,”title”:”highlight”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.18.tags.6″:{“slug”:”in-game-highlight”,”title”:”in-game highlight”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.18.tags.7″:{“slug”:”group-8″,”title”:”group 8″,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.18.tags.8″:{“slug”:”international-feed”,”title”:”International Partner feed”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.18.tags.9″:{“slug”:”eclat-feed”,”title”:”Eclat feed”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.19″:{“content”:”### What about the context MVP voters like to see?nnIt is, again, not a simple WAR contest, so we have to factor in how MVP voters actually think about these things. We have “he plays on a losing team,” which seems unlikely to change but no longer seems to matter much; it didn’t stop Trout from winning in the past, or Giancarlo Stanton on the 85-loss 2017 Marlins, and so on. If a team with Trout _and_ Ohtani can’t win, it proves more than ever how much of a team game baseball really is.nnBut we’re talking about MVP voters, right? There’s never really been a dictionary definition of _value_ here, in the sense that some voters just want big numbers, and others want direct contribution toward winning, and ideally you have both, but not always.nnHow, then, about this? No player in the Majors (combining hitting and pitching here) [has done more to help his team actually win games](https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=3&season=2021&month=0&season1=2021&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2021-01-01&enddate=2021-12-31&sort=3,d), given the context of “big spots,” like the home run against the Red Sox we mentioned before. If you want value, that seems like value.”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.20″:{“content”:”Win Probability Added, 2021, hitting + pitchingnn2.8 — Ohtani, LAAn1.9 — Ramírez, CLE n1.9 — Kyle Seager, SEA n1.8 — Ramón Laureano, OAK”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).parts.21″:{“content”:”### So does he have a shot here?nnIt seems unreasonable to think that Ohtani will play in 162 games this year, especially as the Angels’ postseason odds dwindle below 25%. If we were to do the thing you should not do and just assume he performs exactly the same over the course of the season, he’d have a 10-WAR year and probably sweep the balloting.nnBut the answer, here, clearly, is “yes.” We’ll be the first to say that numbers can’t truly capture what he’s doing, but at the same time they’re doing a decent enough job of accounting for his dual role, and they’re convincingly saying he’s been one of the AL’s most valuable players. Throw in all the historic context — with the hope he does anything close to this for the remainder of 2021 — and he might have it in the bag.nnIt’s not too early to think about it. When you have a player like Ohtani doing what he’s doing, waiting too long to talk about it is … waiting too long. This is the Ohtani we’d been waiting for ever since he arrived in 2018. Don’t miss a second of it.”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).tags.0.data”:{“__typename”:”UnsupportedTagType”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).tags.0″:{“data”:{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).tags.0.data”,”typename”:”UnsupportedTagType”},”externalSourceName”:null,”slug”:”storytype-article”,”title”:”Article”,”type”:”article”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).tags.1.data”:{“__typename”:”UnsupportedTagType”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).tags.1″:{“data”:{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”shohei-ohtani-playing-like-mvp”,”type”:”story”}).tags.1.data”,”typename”:”UnsupportedTagType”},”externalSourceName”:”customentity.contributor”,”slug”:”mike-petriello”,”title”:”Mike 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